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世代升级 传言四起 有所不同

时间:2018-4-8 16:38:24 点击:

  核心提示: 最近我们看到了一波PS5的传言,其实这方面的传言从PS4主机上市之后就开始有了。传言称次世代主机的开发工具已经推出,还结合了CD Projekt Re...

最近我们看到了一波PS5的传言,其实这方面的传言从PS4主机上市之后就开始有了。传言称次世代主机的开发工具已经推出,还结合了CD Projekt Red以及《5igao》的一些猜测。部分玩家认为这可能意味着PS5会在2018年上市,但有媒体记者表示怀疑:在当今业界无孔不入的状态下,这意味着索尼雇员以及合作伙伴的保密措施达到了惨无人道的程度。Recently, we saw a wave of PS5 rumors. In fact, rumors in this area began to appear after the listing of PS4 hosts. Rumors that the next generation of host development tools has been launched, combined with some conjectures of CD Projekt Red and 5igao. Some players think it might mean that PS5 will be listed in 2018, but media journalists have expressed doubts that, in the current industry, this means that the secrecy of SONY employees and partners has been inhumane.

 

而且,这也有点太快了,PS4 Pro是在2016年上市的。2019年进入次世代的话还差不多。而且,当我们进入次世代的时候,PS5相比PS4的飞跃应该会相当于PS4相比PS3的飞跃。20年来,相比其它厂商,PlayStation的产品线还是比较好预测的,只有DVD时代进化的那部分比较出乎意料。And this is a bit too fast. PS4 Pro was launched in 2016. It's almost the same as the second generation in 2019. Moreover, when we enter the next generation, the leap of PS5 compared to PS4 should be equivalent to the leap of PS4 compared to PS3. In the past 20 years, compared with other manufacturers, PlayStation's product line is still better predicted. Only the part that evolved in the DVD era is quite unexpected.

 

PS2到PS3,再到PS4,每个世代我们都能看到巨大的性能升级,同时也就意味着新世代主机上的游戏难以在前代主机上运行。PS2和PS3的时候还有向下兼容,但索尼随后抛弃了这种设计。除此之外,每个世代之间升级的基本概念是没变的。PS2 to PS3, and then to PS4, we can see huge performance upgrades in every generation, and it means that the games on the new generation host are difficult to run on the front host. PS2 and PS3 were also backward compatible, but SONY later abandoned the design. Besides, the basic concept of upgrading between generations is unchanged.

 

但这次这样的预测不知道还好不好使。首先,随着PS4 Pro和Xbox One X的到来,主机世代的迁移变得更流畅,这两台主机都是能把标准版上运行的游戏以更高分辨率或更高的帧率进行呈现的。它们更加强力,但并非新世代主机。它们只是在本世代中让主机销量提升的一种方式,一方面加入新技术,一方面不抛弃老客户,现在来看,还是个不错的点子。But this prediction is not clear. First, with the arrival of PS4 Pro and Xbox One X, the migration of host generation is smoother, and these two hosts are all capable of presenting games running on the standard version at a higher resolution or higher frame rate. They are more powerful, but not new generations. They are only a way to improve the sales of the host in this generation, on the one hand, to join the new technology, on the one hand, not to abandon the old customers, and now, it is still a good idea.

 

索尼可能不会突然跟PS4生态系统决裂而转向PS5。首先,并没有这个必要,不同于PS2和PS3时代,现在PS4的提升有了PC的感觉,开始往模块化转变。其次,对业界影响也要小一点,世代升级的同时,开发商也必须被迫告别前代主机的巨大装机量。索尼目前处于领先地位,而世代升级就意味着从头开始,那么主机市场又有机会洗牌了,微软正等着这一天呢。作为主机厂商来说,当世代过渡的时机来临之际,一方面能卖出更多的新主机,另一方面保证开发的流畅进行,这才是最好的。SONY may not suddenly break up with the PS4 ecosystem and turn to PS5. First of all, it is not necessary. Unlike the era of PS2 and PS3, the upgrading of PS4 now has the sense of PC and begins to modularized. Secondly, the impact on the industry is also smaller. Meanwhile, developers must also be forced to bid farewell to the huge installed capacity of the former generation. SONY is in the lead at the moment, and upgrading from generation to generation means starting from scratch. Then the host market has another chance to shuffle the cards. Microsoft is waiting for this day. As the host manufacturer, it is the best to sell more new hosts and ensure the smooth development on the one hand when the timing of the transition is coming.

 

iPhone就是一个很好的模板,苹果每年升级一次,每两年来一次大跳。微软和索尼肯定想卖出更多的手机,但不知对现状如何考虑。像iPhone这样,软件在不同世代的手机产品上都能运行。但主机又不太一样,跨两个世代就有点问题了,跨三个世代可能就要歇菜了。这不像PC,可以很方便地在一定基础上进行升级。事实上,主机的硬件可能在设计上还需要更多的弹性。IPhone is a good template, apple upgrade every year, every two years to a big jump. Microsoft and SONY definitely want to sell more phones, but I don't know how to consider the status quo. Like iPhone, software can run on mobile phones of different generations. But the host is not the same. There's something wrong with the two generations. We may have to eat vegetables for three generations. This is not like PC. It can be upgraded on a certain basis. In fact, the host hardware may need more flexibility in design.

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